The desire of the Academy to please everyone and immediately led to a series of scandals, because of which the ceremony lost his lead due to dissatisfaction with the LGBT community, caused anger of feminist movement due to the lack of women nominees in the category "Best Director", and later Oscar risks listen Criticizing the blacks of industry, if one of our forecasts proves true.
Best actress of the second plan
Emma Stone - Favorite
Rachel Weiss - Favorite
Amy Adams - Power
Regina King - if Bil Street could speak
Marina de Tavir - Roma
Our forecast: Oscar will go to Regina King for the role in the film "If Bil Street could speak."
This year, it is much more difficult to make assumptions, since all the awards and guilds showed the scattered results of awards. Regina King was marked by the Golden Globe and received the Critics' Choice Award award, as well as the favorite for the Golden Statuette, the authoritative portal Goldderdy, who publishes filmnosis since 2004.
What can go wrong: first of all, to prevent Regina King to rise to the stage for the award can Amy Adams nominated for Oscar in the sixth time and still not received a statuette. According to the majority of publications and critics, the "power" star deserved "Oscar", like no other, although on the BAFTA awards, Rachel Wece from "Favoritsa", and the award of the guild of actors and at all took Emily Blante for the film "Quiet Place".
Best actress
Glenn Clowz - Wife
Olivia Colman - Favorite
Melissa McCarthy - Can you forgive me?
Yalitsa Aparisio - Roma
Lady Gaga - Star Born
Our forecast: Oscar will get Glenn Clouep for the film "Wife".
For clow, it is already the seventh nomination for Oscar and another chance to get finally a reward that Glenn's brilliant career is still not. The actress became the winner of the Golden Globe, the Awards Guild Prize and Critics' Choice Award. If this year someone will repeat the success of Leonardo Dicapyrio, then this will definitely be the star of "wife." Glenn Clowz Film Academy cannot give a long-honored statuette since 1983, so this evening will belong to her.
What can go wrong: the main competitor actresses Olivia Colman for the role of Queen Anna in the film "Favorite". She won the BAFTA Award and, according to the forecasts of critics, has chances of winning. Also, many views of this year are facing Lady Gaga, who divided the Critics' Choice Award with Glenn, however, the forecasts are stuffed by her victory in the musical nomination, and not in the acting.
Best Second Planner
Maherchel Ali - Green Book
Adam Driver - Black Claver
Sam Rockwell - Power
Sam Elliot - Star Born
Richard E. Grant - Can you forgive me?
Our forecast: Oscar will come to Mahehershal Ali for the film "Green Book".
He is the absolute favorite of this year, who became the winner of the Golden Globe, Awards Awards, the BAFTA and Critics' Choice Award Prizes. With a huge margin from the rest of the competitors, he leads in the list of the Goldderdy portal, and it would be worth advising the actor to prepare thank you, if it were not for one thing.
What can go wrong: In 2017, Ali was already awarded Oscar in the same nomination for the film "Moonlight". Plus, the film Academy may draw attention to the fact that Don Shirley's family was unhappy with the screening of the hero. At the same time, Richard E. Grant is in the list of candidates, who many years, according to critics, was an undervalued actor and earned a golden statuette for a shrill, charismatic character in Drama "Can you forgive me?".
Best actor
Viggo Mortensen - Green Book
Willem Defo - Van Gogh. On the threshold of eternity
Christian Bale - Power
Rami Malek - Bohemian Rhapsody
Bradley Cooper - Star Born
Our forecast: Oscar will get Rami Melto for the film "Bohemian Rhapsody".
Rami Malek very carefully approached the musical icon of the 20th century. He studied Freddie Mercury's biography, revised all the available video call and, together with the trainer, he studied to walk like Freddie, to say, like Freddie, gesticulate, like Freddie, and do everything exactly how he did. For the sake of this role, the actor was ready to pierce the walls of his head, so it is not surprising that the efforts brought to him the Golden Globe, the award of the award of the Guild of the Actors and the Bafta Prize.
What can go wrong: to lead the golden statuette from the hands of Malek can another Hollywood workaholic and a perfectionist - Christian Bale. For the sake of reliable incarnation of Dick Cheney in the film "Power", he scored almost 20 kg, having launched but evil the eyebrows. Later, Christian admitted that his health no longer allows him to continue to experiment with weight, so that this role is his last victim. It should be noted that Bale's approach brought him the Golden Globe in the category "Best Actor in a Music or Comedy Film", as well as a statuette of the Critics' Choice Award.
Best director
Alfonso Quaron - Roma
Adam McCay - Power
Yorgos Lantimos - Favorite
Pavel Pavlikovsky - Cold War
Spike Lee - Black Claver
Our forecast: Oscar will get Alfonso Quaron for the film "Roma".
He gathered all the prestigious prizes this year, including the Golden Venetian Lion, and with a huge margin leads in the lists of the Goldderdy portal and the bookmaker's office. This is his year and, definitely, the year of the Netflix Stregnation Platform, which, for sure, takes care that a grateful speech read out on stage.
What can go wrong: despite the excellent production of Lantimos's Jorgos in the "favorite", the main competitor of Coumarone, according to the bookmakers and insiders, is Spike Lee with his "black clan". The director is regularly and very publicly indignant at how little the darkefish representatives of the film industry receive attention to the award, so there is a chance that the film academic teams are trembling and will be presented with Oscar, in order to stop accusations in Rasism.
Best movie
Green Book
Roma.
Bohemian Rhapsody
Power
Favorite.
Star born
Black Clan.
Black Panther
Our forecast: Oscar will get the film "Roma".
The film became an absolute record holder in number of nominations this year. Roma is not only Netflix project, but also a film from Mexican about Mexicans, resonging with a reality in which Trump is preparing to build a wall at the Mexican border. For such works, Oscar usually does not slip on the awards.
What can go wrong: Much. In the matter of the best film, all the awards dealt with opinions. So, the "Golden Globe" preferences "Bohemian Rhapsody" and "Green Book". Peter Farrelli's film also noted the producer guild, whose decisions rarely disagree with the decisions of film academics. But then his verdict was carried out by the guild of actors, which was put forward by the acting "Black Panther", than a lot surprised the public, because it predicts the future winner with an accuracy of 75%.
It is impossible to argue with confidence that the 91th award ceremony "Oscar" will be boring, despite the lack of charismatic leading and scandals, haunting the organizers at every step, at least, because the audience will have to find out the answer to the most intriguing question:
How many statuettes will take a "black panther"?
Let's discuss the chances of nominees to win in the comments!