Best actress of the second plan
Nominees:
Mary J. Blige - Farm Madbound
Ellison Jenny - Tonya against all
Leslie Manville - Ghost Thread
Lori Metkaf - Lady Berd
Octavia Spencer - Water Shape
Our forecast: Oscar will get Ellison Jenny for the role in the movie "Tonya against All"
The fact is that Ellison has already received all the most important awards for this role - the US Guild Guild Prize, the Golden Globe, BAFTA Award, so we also do not expect any surprises from the US Film Academy of China.
What can go wrong: The statuette for the best role of the second plan can get Lori Metkaf for "Lady Berd", because in the past few years, an interesting trend has emerged at Oscare. The award for the best role of the second plan is a kind of "comforting prize" for paintings, which turned out to be too weak to seriously qualify for the "best film", but at the same time that it is so easy to ignore (enclose). It so happened with the "girl from Denmark" (Alicia Vicander), "Fences" (Viola Davis) and, perhaps, it will work out with the "tone against all", which even in the nomination "The best film" did not hit.
Best actress
Nominees:
Sally Hawkins - Water Shape
Francis McDormand - Three Billboards on the Border
Margo Robbie - Tonya against all
Sirsha Ronan - Lady Berd
Meryl Strip - Secret Dossier
Our forecast: Oscar will get Francis McDormand for the role in the film "Three Billboards on the border of Ebbing, Missouri"
Francis received all the most important awards for this film, and Oscar will become a natural continuation of the trend.
What can go wrong: As we love the stories in the style of Hollywood melodram, no one will forbid us to dream that Oscar will get a siresche Ronan for Lady Berd. First, Sirsha, along with Francis McDormand, also received the Golden Globe as the best actress - only Sirsha for comedy, and Francis is for drama. Secondly, in his thankful speech on the awards of the guild guild of Macromand, McDormand called on to "give a young way" and reward that young actors. However, the likelihood of the victory of Sirmshi is still low, because only last year, the tick opposite the item "awarding young people" was already set, issuing an Oscar Emme Stone for La La Land.
Best actor
Nominees:
Timothy Shalam - Call me by your name
Daniel Day Lewis - Ghostly Thread
Daniel Kalua - away
Gary Oldman - Dark Times
Denzel Washington - Roman Israel, ESQ.
Our forecast: Oscar will get Gary Oldman for the role in the film "Dark Times"
For several months now, we constantly hear the name Gary Oldman in connection with any infoovods of the premium season - as he was heroically smoked some record number of cigars on the set, as these cigars were in the end, but overcome, as in the interruptions between the filming, there was still and colonoscopy, and then selflessly returned to the set. Three major awards with the exception of Oscar for their role Aldman has already received - "Golden Globe", BAFTA and SAG. Oscar will be a logical fourth.
What can go wrong: Oscar can get Daniel Day Lewis - "For goodbye", because the actor after the "Ghost Night" completes his career. And the Oscar can get Daniel Kalua for "away" on the "minority quotas". And the "Oscar" can leave Timothy Shalam under the appeal "Award the young, especially playing in LGBT drama." "Protocious" factors that may affect vote, a lot, so that we do not risk a unambiguous forecast.
Best Second Planner
Nominees:
Willem Defo - Project "Florida"
Woody Harrelson - Three Billboards on the border of Ebbing, Missouri
Richard Jenkins - Water Shape
Christopher Plammer - all the money of the world
Sam Rockwell - Three Billboards on the border of Ebbing, Missouri
Our forecast: Oscar will receive Sam Rockwell for the role in the film "Three Billboards on the border of Ebbing, Missouri"
Like his colleague, Francis McDermannd, Sam gathered all the main awards - the Sag Award Guild Guild Prize, the British Academy of Cinema and Television Bafta Award, Golden Globe. Rockwell is a "reinforced concrete" favorite and bookmakers, and film asperts, so we will argue with them (especially since the "three billboards" Sam really plays amazingly powerful).
What can go wrong: What if the Universe decides that this "Oscar" is really too boring and predictable, and will make us a gift in the form of the victory of Christopher Plammer? Well, at least so that we can still give Kevin Spacy with the week and blame on the topic "How to get Oscar in 5 minutes of work."
Best director
Nominees:
Christopher Nolan - Dunkirk
Jordan Pil - Away
Greta Gervig - Lady Berd
Paul Thomas Anderson - Ghost Thread
Guillermo Del Toro - water shape
Our forecast: Oscar will get guillermo del Toro for the "water shape"
Del Toro for the "water shape" won everything that is possible, including the most important thing - the US Guild Guild awards, and the practice shows that the owners of this premium are later most often received by Oscar.
What can go wrong: In this category - albeit not on the surface - the intrigue is preserved, provoked, unfortunately, not the talents of the directors themselves, but by the events of "Okolokino". On the "Golden Globe" Natalie Portman, announcing nominees in the category "Best Director", did not fail to emphasize the fact that all five are men; On Oscar, in the top five nominees - one woman, Greta Gervig, which is on the background of the whole occurring (#Metoo, the Global Campaign Time's Up and Other) and can get a reward. But the question is whether it will be possible to be proud of the Oscar, which you were given, in fact, for considerations "so that no one is offensive"?
Best movie
Nominees:
Call me with your name
Dark times
Dunkirk
Away
Lady Bird
Ghostly thread
Secret dossier
Water shape
Three billboards on the border of Ebbing, Missouri
Our forecast: Oscar will get the film "Three Billboards on the border of Ebbing, Missouri"
In fact, the chances of the "three billboards" and "water forms" are about equal, but since we assume that Guillermo del Toro will be awarded as a better director, the likelihood that he will go to the scene also for Oscar in the most important category, Reduced.
Let's discuss the chances of nominees to win in the comments!
