Qhov no yog li cas cov tswv yim tshaj plaws ntawm Oscar, 2018, raws li cov phau ntawv sau thiab zaj duab xis thiab kev kwv yees ntawm txhua tus neeg mos, tuaj yeem pom hauv qab):
Movie zoo tshaj plaws - "Peb daim ntawv qhia txog ciam teb ntawm ebbing, Missouri"
Tus Thawj Coj Zoo Tshaj - Guillermo del toro, "dej duab"
Tus neeg ua yeeb yam zoo tshaj plaws - Gary oldman, "lub sij hawm tsaus"
Zoo thib ob npaj - Sam Rockwell, "Peb daim ntawv plaub ntawm ciam teb ntawm ebbing, Missouri"
Tus poj niam zoo tshaj plaws - Francis McDormand, "Peb daim ntawv qhia txog ciam teb ntawm ebbing, Missouri"
Tus actress zoo tshaj plaws ntawm txoj kev npaj ob - Ellison Jenny, "Tonya tawm tsam txhua yam"
Movie zoo tshaj plaws
Bookmakers tau ntseeg tus oscar yuav tau txais "peb daim ntawv tshaj tawm nyob rau hauv feem ntau cov phau ntawv tais ceev xwm ntau dua li txawm tias tau khwv tau ntawm tus nqi no yuav tsis ua haujlwm. Txawm li cas los xij, koj yuav tsum tsis txhob hnov qab tias La La Av xyoo tas los kuj muaj qhov tseeb, Oscar tau mus rau lub "Lunar Teeb", hauv kev kwv yees ntawm qhov chaw thib ob. Xyoo no, qhov chaw thib ob hauv Phau Ntawv Qhia Kev Ua Si - rau cov "dej ua ib qho zoo - 7 txog rau 4. Tab sis" daim ntawv dej ", thiab" peb daim ntawv hla "Hauv cov npe nyiam nyiam tso rau ntawm qhov chaw thib ob.
Cov coeffiners ntawm cov phau ntawv sau thiab zaj duab xis ntxiv rau hauv qeb "Zoo tshaj plaws zaj duab xis ntawm lub xyoo" tau faib zoo li no:
Peb daim ntawv tshaj tawm ntawm tus ciam teb ntawm ebbing, Missouri: Bookmaker coefficient - 1 txog 1, kev twv ntawm cov xinesmasperts - 17 txog 10
Cov duab dej: Bookmaker coefficient - 7 txog 4, kev kwv yees ntawm xinesmas Speert - 7 txog 4
Poj Niam Berd: Bookmakers coefficient - 12 k 1, kev twv ntawm cov xinesmasperts - 20 K 1
Tam sim: Bookmaker coefficient - 16 K 1, kev twv ntawm cov xinesmasperts - 6 txog 1
Dunkirk: Bookmaker coefficient - 40 K 1, kev kwv yees ntawm xinesmas Speeert - 50 K 1
Hu rau kuv los ntawm koj lub npe: Bookmakers coefficient - 100 k 1, kev twv ntawm cov xinesmasperts - 50 k 1
Cov khoom siv Dossier: Bookmaker coefficient - 150 K 1, kev twv ntawm cov khoom plig - 100 k 1
Dab Xov: Bookmaker coefficient - 200 K 1, kev kwv yees ntawm cov xinesmasperts - 80 k 1
Lub sij hawm tsaus: Bookmaker coefficient - 200 K 1, kev twv ntawm cov xinesmasperts - 100 k 1
Tus Thawj Coj Zoo Tshaj
Tsis paub txog, tsis paub txog thiab daws tau ntau dua - guolermo del toro nrog nws "cov ntaub ntawv nus muag, uas tau pom zoo ua ke, yuav tsis tau txais OSCAR dua. Thiab txhua yam tsis muaj txoj hmoo ntawm Jordan pom ("deb") thiab Paul Thomas Anderson xov "), uas tsis muaj ib tug tsis xav txog.
Cov coeffakers thiab cov xinesmasperts nyob rau hauv qeb "Tus Thawj Coj Zoo Tshaj Plaws" tau muab faib ua zoo li no:
Guillermo del toro ("dej duab"): Bookmaker coefficient - 1 txog 7, kev kwv yees ntawm cov xinesmasperts - 2 txog 13
Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk): Bookmaker coefficient - 7 txog 1, kev kwv yees ntawm cinemaspaspt - 18 txog 1
Greta Gervig (Poj Niam Noog): Bookmaker coefficient - 12 k 1, kev twv ntawm cov xinesmasperts - 40 k 1
Jordan Pil ("Nce"): Bookmaker coefficient - 50 K 1, kev kwv yees ntawm cov xinesmasperts - 50 k 1
Paul Thomas Anderson ("Dab Xov"): Bookmakers coefficiess - 100 k 1, kev twv ntawm cov xinesmasperts - 80 k 1
Tus neeg ua yeeb yam zoo tshaj plaws
Nyob rau hauv pawg no, cov betts yog kiag li tsis muaj txiaj ntsig - txhua tus neeg ntseeg tau tias muaj kev kov yeej ntawm Gary Airman (" Cov coefficient rau kev yeej ntawm tus laus hesitates los ntawm 1 txog 14 rau qhov me me 1 txog 40 ( Qhov no txhais tau tias yog koj tso 40 las, cov nyiaj yuav tsuas yog 1 daus las ). Hauv ntej, muaj kiag li tsis muaj intrigue nyob rau hauv no kev xaiv tsa thiab tsis yog foreseen.
Cov coeffakers ntawm cov phau ntawv Firmakers thiab Zaj Duab Xis Asperts hauv qeb "Tus neeg ua yeeb yam zoo tshaj plaws" tau faib zoo li no:
Gary Airman - Lub Sijhawm tsaus: Bookmaker coefficient - 1 txog 14, kev twv ntawm cov xinesmasperts - 1 txog 10
Daniel Kalua - Khiav: Bookmaker coefficient - 20 K 1, kev kwv yees ntawm cov xinesmasperts - 50 k 1
Timaute shalam - hu kuv los ntawm koj lub npe: Bookmakers coefficient - 20 K 1, kev kwv yees ntawm cov xinesmaspert - 18 txog 1
Daniel Hnub Lewis - Dab Xov: Bookmaker coefficient - 28 txog 1, kev twv txog ntawm Kinoexpert - 40 k 1
Denzel Washington - Roman cov neeg Ixayees, Esq.: Bookmaker coefficient - 100 k 1, kev twv ntawm cov xinesmasperts - 100 k 1
Zoo thib ob npaj
Nyob rau qeb no, tsis muaj intrigue - los ntawm kev sau tag nrho cov khoom plig tseem ceeb rau nws lub luag haujlwm, yog tus Hollywood Houbi-kawg, thiab "Oscar". Ntxim nyiam, nws yog tib yam nkaus - hauv 25 txog 1 - Cov thawj coj ntawm lub ntiaj teb "ntawm Kevin Tas lub ntiaj teb, thiab Richard Jenkins (" dej duab ") Cov. Cinemasperts tsis yog nyob rau txhua yam uas lub hom phiaj yog tsim nyog ntawm yeej ntau dua li jenkins. Thiab txhua yam, tsis muaj caij nyoog ntawm harrelson, uas, yog qhov tseeb, tsis muaj kev sib raug zoo (thiab rau cov uas nws tau xaiv ntsej muag, nws tsis yog meej meej).
Cov coeffakers ntawm cov phau ntawv Firmakers thiab zaj duab xis aspeert hauv qeb "Zoo tshaj plaws ua yeeb yam ntawm txoj kev npaj ob" tau faib li no:
Sam Rockwell - Peb daim paib ntawm ciam teb ntawm ebbing, Missouri: Bookmaker coefficient - 1 txog 7, kev kwv yees ntawm cov xinesmaspert - 1 txog 5
Willem Defo - Qhov project "Florida": Bookmaker coefficient - 6 txog 1, kev kwv yees ntawm cov xinesmasperts - 10 k 1
Christopher Plammer - txhua qhov nyiaj ntawm lub ntiaj teb: Bookmaker coefficient - 25 k 1, kev twv ntawm Kamensperts - 25 k 1
Richard Jenkins - Dej Zoo: Bookmaker coefficient - 25 txog 1, kev twv ntawm cov xinesmasperts - 50 k 1
Woody Harrelson - Peb daim paib ntawm ciam teb ntawm ebbing, Missouri: Bookmaker coefficient - 50 K 1, kev kwv yees ntawm cov xinesmasperts - 80 k 1
Tus poj niam zoo tshaj plaws
Xws li cov qeb "ua yeeb yam zoo tshaj plaws", tus yeej nyob rau hauv qeb "zoo tshaj plaws yog xav tau ua ntej - Nyob rau qhov chaw thib ob thiab cov ntaub ntawv, thiab zaj duab xis Asperts tso Sirsu Ronan, tab sis cov kws tshaj lij ntawm margot Robbie, thiab cov kws tshaj lij yog qhov thib peb rau sally hawkins rau cov duab "dej".
Cov coeffiners ntawm cov phau ntawv Firmakers thiab FilmasKperts nyob rau hauv qeb "tus actress zoo tshaj plaws" tau muab faib zoo li qhov no:
Francis McDormand - Peb daim ntawv qhia txog ciam teb ntawm ebbing, Missouri: Bookmaker coefficient - 1 txog 12, kev kwv yees ntawm Cinema Speert - 2nd rau 13
Siira Ronan - Poj Niam Berd: Bookmaker coefficient - 15 txog 1, kev kwv yees ntawm cov xinesmasperts - 16 k 1
Maro Robbie - Tonya tawm tsam txhua: Bookmaker coefficient - 16 k 1, kev twv ntawm Kamenskpert - 50 K 1
Sally Hawkins - Cov duab dej: Bookmaker coefficient - 20 K 1, kev twv ntawm cov xinesmasperts - 33 K 1
Meril Sawb - Cov Dossier Dossier: Bookmakers coefficiess - 100 k 1, kev twv ntawm cov xinesmasperts - 80 k 1
Tus actress zoo tshaj plaws ntawm txoj kev npaj ob
Ellison Jenny ("Tony tawm tsam txhua qhov") yog qhov ua ntej ntawm nws cov xaub, yog li tus yeej tsis sib xws ntawm no. Tus neeg sib tw ze tshaj plaws ntawm Ellison yog Lori Metkaf ("Poj Niam Berd"), cov coefficients yog tom qab coeffeieciesses ntau uas lawv tsis tuaj yeem suav hais tias txhua yam.
Cov coeffakers ntawm cov phau ntawv qhia thiab zaj duab xis Asperts hauv qeb "Tus poj niam zoo tshaj plaws ntawm txoj kev npaj ob" tau faib li no:
Ellison Jenny - Tonya tawm tsam txhua: Bookmaker coefficient - 1 txog 6, kev kwv yees ntawm cov xinesmasperts - 2 txog 7
Lori Metkaf - Poj Niam Berd: Bookmaker coefficient - 6 txog 1, kev twv ntawm cov xinesmasperts - 5 txog 1
Mary J. Blige - Ua liaj teb madbound: Bookmaker coefficient - 20 K 1, kev kwv yees ntawm cov xinesmasperts - 50 k 1
Leslie Manville - Dab Dab Xov: Bookmaker coefficient - 25 txog 1, kev twv ntawm cov xinesmasperts - 50 k 1
Octavia Spencer - Cov duab dej: Bookmakers coefficient - 40 K 1, kev twv ntawm cov xinesmasperts - 66 K 1