This is how the most likely owners of Oscar "-2017, according to the bookmakers and film essperts (rates and forecasts on all nominees, can be seen below):
The best movie of the year - La La Land
Best director - Damien Chasell, La La Land
Best actor - Casey Affleck, Manchester by the sea
Best Second Planner - Mahershal Ali, Moonlight
Best actress - Emma Stone, La La Land
Best actress of the second plan - Viola Davis, Fences
The best movie of the year / Best (Motion) Picture
CinemaSperts and bookmakers converge - a statuette in the category "The Best Film of the Year" Film Academy Award "La La Land". Earn at this rate will practically fail: the coefficients are so low that for each invested dollar in the event of the victory "La La Land" customers will receive a profit in the amount of only 14 cents. In other words, in the victory of La La Land on Oscare -2017, absolutely everything is confident - and 100%.
The coefficients of bookmakers and film essperts in the category "The Best Film of the Year" were distributed like this:
La La Land : Bookmaker coefficient - 1.14, Forecast of Cinema Speert - 1 to 5
Moonlight : Bookmaker coefficient - 7.5, Forecast of CinemaSpert - 16 to 1
Manchester by the sea : Bookmakers coefficient - 13, Forecast of the KinoExperts - 50 K 1
Hidden figures : Bookmaker coefficient - 13, Forecast of CinemaSperts - 66 K 1
Fences : Bookmaker coefficient - 67, Forecast of Kamenperts - 80 K 1
For reasons of conscience : Bookmaker coefficient - 67, Forecast of Kamenperts - 80 K 1
Arrival : Bookmaker coefficient - 101, Forecast of CinemaSperts - 66 K 1
At any cost : Bookmaker coefficient - 101, Forecast of CinemaSperts - 80 K 1
a lion : Bookmaker coefficient - 101, Forecast of CinemaSperts - 80 K 1
Best Director / Best Director
In this category, the filmSperts and bookmakers are also unanimous: the best director of Oscar -2017 will be called the creator of La La Land, Demien Chasell. According to the "Golden Globe" in January of this year, he was already recognized as the best director. In the career of Chasell, in the event of victory, this will be the first Oscar, although in 2015 Demien has already fought for a statuette with the film "Obsession" (though, in the category "Best Adapted Scenario").
The coefficients of bookmakers and cinemaSperts in the category "The Best Director" were distributed like this:
"La La Land" - Damien Chasell : Bookmaker coefficient - 1.08, Forecast of Cinema Speert - 2 to 7
"Moonlight" - Barry Jenkins : Bookmaker coefficient - 11, Forecast of CinemaSperts - 9 to 2
"Manchester by the Sea" - Kenneth Loneger : Bookmaker coefficient - 11, Forecast of Kamenperts - 50 K 1
"For conscience reasons" - Mel Gibson : Bookmaker coefficient - 41, Forecast of CinemaSperts - 80 K 1
"Arrival" - Denis Villune : Bookmaker coefficient - 51, Forecast of CinemaSperts - 66 K 1
Best Male Role / Best Actor in a Leading Role
In this category, the forecasts are a little more interesting: the bookmakers are confident in the victory of Casey Affleck, and the movie Escorets believe that the "Manchester" star has the same chances to receive Oscar, as well as Washington denzel nominated for "fences". And neither those nor others believe in the victory of the Viggo Mortensen - the bookmakers offer players profit in the amount of 101 dollars for each Viggo Dollar victory.
The coefficients of bookmakers and film asperts in the category "Best Actor" were distributed like this:
Casey Affleck - "Manchester by the Sea": Bookmakers - 1.5, Forecast of CinemaSperts - 11 to 10
Denzel Washington - "Fences": Bookmaker Coefficient - 2.5, Forecast of CinemaSperts - 11 to 10
Ryan Gosling - "La La Land": Bookmaker coefficient - 11, Forecast of the Kamenperts - 50 K 1
Andrew Garfield - "For conscience reasons": Bookmakers - 34, Forecast of Kamenperts - 66 K 1
Viggo Mortensen - "Captain Fantastic": Bookmakers - 101, Forecast of CinemaSperts - 80 K 1
Best Male Role of the Second Plan / Best Actor in A Supporting Role
In the category "Best Actor of the Second Plan" again, there is an amazing unanimity of the film ecperts and bookmakers: everyone is confident in the victory of Mahershala Ali who played the Moonlight drama. Interestingly, experts practically equalize Jeff Bridges and Michael Shannon, who played very similar roles in their films.
The coefficients of bookmakers and film aspeert in the category "Best Actor of the Second Plan" were distributed like this:
Mahershal Ali, "Moonlight": Bookmakers - 1.1, Forecast of CinemaSperts - 2nd to 11
Jeff Bridges, "At Any Price": Bookmaker Coefficient - 13, Forecast of Cinema Speert - 16 K 1
Michael Shannon, "under the cover of the night": Bookmakers coefficient - 13, Forecast of the KinoExpert - 18 to 1
Lucas Hedgees, "Manchester by the Sea": Bookmakers - 17, Forecast of CinemaSperts - 66 K 1
Dev Patel, "Lion": Bookmakers - 21, Forecast of Cinema Speert - 50 K 1
Best Women's Role / Best Actress In A Leading Role
Forecast in the category "Best actress" of bookmakers and cinema extracts to guess lighter easy - and those and others give victory at Oscare 2017 Emme Stone and its role in La La Land. For a 28-year-old actress, this will be the first victory career, although in 2015 Emma has already fought for Oscar as an actress of the second plan in Berdman. In that year, Emma lost to Patricia Arquette ("Defense"), but in this a statuette will take almost 100% guarantee - at least, judging by the minimal bookmaker coefficient.
The coefficients of bookmakers and filmseksperts in the category "Best Actress" were distributed like this:
Emma Stone - "La La Land": Bookmaker coefficient - 1.25, Forecast of the Kamenperts - 4 to 9
Natalie Portman - "Jackie": Bookmaker coefficient - 5, Forecast of the CinemaSperts - 13 K 2
Isabelle Yupper - "She": Bookmaker coefficient - 11, Forecast of the KinoExpert - 13 to 2
Ruth Negga - "Laving": Bookmakers - 41, Forecast of CinemaSperts - 80 K 1
Meryl Strip - Florence Foster Jenkins: Bookmakers - 67, Forecast of CinemaSperts - 66 K 1
Best Women's Role of the Second Plan / Best Actress In A Supporting Role
And the bookmakers, and the filmseksperts are confident in the victory at Oscar Viol Davis, and we are so confident that it is not possible to bet on the victory of the actress almost meaningless - so low the ratio: for every dollar, delivered to the fact that Davis will get "Oscar" -2017, players In case of victory, only 5 cents arrived.
The coefficients of bookmakers and film asperts in the category "Best Actress of the Second Plan" were distributed like this:
Viola Davis - "Fences": Bookmaker coefficient - 1.05, Forecast of the KinoExperts - 1 to 10
Michelle Williams - "Manchester by the Sea": Bookmaker coefficient - 11, Forecast of Kamenperts - 33 K 1
Naomi Harris - "Moonlight": Bookmaker coefficient - 15, Forecast of Cinema Speert - 50 K 1
Nicole Kidman - "Leo": Bookmakers - 34, Forecast of CinemaSperts - 80 K 1
Octavia Spencer - "Hidden Figures": Bookmaker Coefficient - 81, Forecast of CinemaSperts - 66 K 1
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